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The previous three Premier League matches between these sides at Brighton have all ended in a stalemate. This includes the goalless draw between them here almost a year ago to this day. The Seagulls also have more draws in the Premier League than any other side this season with twelve, or 48% of their games.
Therefore, 101 Great Goals’ prediction for this match is Brighton 1 – 1 Aston Villa and is available at odds of 6.5/1.
Alternatively, you can bet on any Brighton win at 2.37/1 against The Villans at home on Saturday.
Or, back any away win for Aston Villa at 3.2/1 here at the Falmer Stadium.
You can find odds of 3.1/1 for a draw with any scoreline between Brighton and Aston Villa on Saturday.
Match preview
Brighton & Hove Albion welcomes Aston Villa to the Falmer Stadium on Saturday for this Premier League match.
Goals could be a little hard to come by here. Brighton have failed to score in three of there last six home matches. Only Burnley and Norwich have scored fewer goals at home in the league this season. As a result, it is little surprise they have won just one of their last nine league matches here. The Seagulls are 3.75/1 to fail to score against Aston Villa.
The Villans are in a similar situation having failed to find the net in four of their last eight matches on the road, in all competitions. Only Norwich, Newcastle and Everton have fewer than Villa’s 11 away goals this season in the Premier League. Despite this, Villa’s away record isn’t too bad lately having typically won if they can conjure up a goal. They have won three of the four away matches in which they have found the net in that run of eight games.
Both sides also failed to score in last weekend’s matches with Brighton drawing a blank in a 0-3 defeat against Burnley while Villa did likewise in the 0-1 defeat at home to Watford. In both cases, they managed just one shot on target in 90 minutes despite having 11 and 20 shots respectively.
Will we see these teams fruitlessly peppering eachothers goals with wasteful shots here? Or will we see the mistakes of last weekend put to rest and a more quality over quantity approach to shot-taking result in a goalfest?
We pray for the latter but the data suggests we expect the former. Odds of just 1.8/1 for under 2.5 goals on Saturday would suggest most people are expecting the this too.
Coutinho Goalscorer – The Brazilian international has been a revelation since arriving in January and is 11/1 to score the game’s opener on Saturday. Or 4.5/1 to bag a goal at any time during the game against the Seagulls.
Brighton team news
Lewis Dunk (above) will serve the second match of his suspension here following his sending off against Manchester United just after half-time at Old Trafford. Jeremy Sarmiento and Enock Mwepu are also both missing here due to thigh injuries.
However, Adam Webster could return here after a slight strain in his groin area saw him miss the Burnley match. He could replace Joël Veltman in defence in a back two. However, we think it is more likely Brighton revert back to a three while sacrificing a body in midfield to do so.
Aston Villa team news
Ezri Konsa has now completed his two-match suspension against Watford and Newcastle following his red card against Leeds United. He is expected to return in central defence here with the big question being whether Tyrone Mings or Calum Chambers will make way.
Bertrand Traore is also nearing a return from a hamstring injury that his kept him from the last five matchday squads. He faces a late fitness test to be involved here. However, Marvelous Nakamba is still ruled out due to a knee injury until April.
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