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Brentford have earned 14 points from London derbies this season, the most of any newly-promoted club in the Premier League era. However, the Bees are winless in 12 meetings with Tottenham, losing nine of them, dating back to 1948. Harry Kane has faced 31 different clubs in the Premier League, scoring against 30 of them, with Brentford the exception. He has though scored 39 times in Premier League London derbies.
Both teams to score is 4/6.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals is 11/10.
Tottenham to win and both teams to score is 13/5.
Ivan Toney is 5/1 to break the deadlock and 6/4 to add to his eight goals from his last nine appearances.
Harry Kane is 11/4 to score first and 8/11 to complete the set in Premier League goalscoring terms.
Match preview
Aston Villa v Tottenham Hotspur – Premier League BIRMINGHAM, ENGLAND – APRIL 09: Heung-Min Son of Tottenham Hotspur celebrates after scoring their side’s fourth goal during the Premier League match between Aston Villa and Tottenham Hotspur at Villa Park on April 09, 2022 in Birmingham, England. (Photo by Naomi Baker/Getty Images)
Last weekend, Spurs were beaten 1-0 by Brighton & Hove Albion at home, conceding in the final minutes of normal time.
The most surprising aspect was the fact that the Seagulls completely dominated the game, accumulating an xG figure of 0.92 to Spurs’ pitiful 0.52.
Before this, Antonio Conte’s side had won four in a row and six of their last seven, only losing to Manchester United since 23 February.
Now though, after Arsenal’s shock victory at Stamford Bridge in midweek, the two North London rivals are neck and neck on 57 points.
With the Gunners hosting Manchester United earlier on Saturday, this could be a crucial day with the two still to meet on 12 May.
Will Tottenham get back on track here?
Brentford though are completely resurgent and come into this London derby as one of the Premier League’s form sides.
Last weekend, they took the lead at Vicarage Road through Christian Nørgaard, but were pegged back shortly after half time.
Then came a crazy stoppage time, in which Watford missed an open goal, only for Pontus Jansson to then bundle home a Brentford winner with 95 on the clock.
That means Thomas Frank’s side have won three on the bounce and five of their last six, only narrowly losing to Leicester since the end of February.
The Bees have already beaten Arsenal, West Ham twice, Chelsea and Watford twice this season, so are looking for another derby scalp.
Will Spurs’ top four aspirations come off the rails at the Brentford Community Stadium?
Brentford team news
Brentford v Burnley – Premier League BRENTFORD, ENGLAND – MARCH 12: Christian Eriksen of Brentford during the Premier League match between Brentford and Burnley at Brentford Community Stadium on March 12, 2022 in Brentford, United Kingdom. (Photo by James Williamson – AMA/Getty Images)
Given their fantastic form, there’s no reason for Thomas Frank to change too much.
The Bees have won all five matches that Christian Eriksen has started with the Dane scoring once and providing two assists so far.
Here, he could become the 26th different player to score a Premier League goal against Tottenham having previously played for the club.
Further forward, all four of Bryan Mbeumo’s Premier League goals have come against teams beginning with W, something he’ll look to change during the remainder of the season.
Ivan Toney meanwhile, having scored eight in his last nine, has now taken his tally to 12 league goals for the season, the same number as Harry Kane.
In goal, David Raya’s return to fitness is an often overlooked factor behind the Bees’ improved form.
They’ve won eight of 19 games with him between the sticks (42%), as oppose to just two wins from 14 without (14%).
Tottenham Hotspur team news
Watford v Tottenham Hotspur – Premier League WATFORD, ENGLAND – JANUARY 01: Davinson Sánchez of Tottenham Hotspur celebrates with teammates after scoring their side’s first goal during the Premier League match between Watford and Tottenham Hotspur at Vicarage Road on January 01, 2022 in Watford, England. (Photo by Justin Setterfield/Getty Images)
It seems bizarre to even think this but the injury Matt Doherty, sustained at Aston Villa a fortnight ago, could be terrible news for Tottenham.
The Republic of Ireland international is set to be out for the rest of the season, meaning Emerson will continue at right-wing-back.
On the other side, Antonio Conte does have options now with both Sergio Reguilón and Ryan Sessegnon fit again.
Aside from that, the rest of the XI never changes, with Dejan Kuluševski having hit the ground running since arriving at Spurs.
The Swede, Heung-min Son and Harry Kane will continue to lead the attack.
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